Warnings and convictions
The Traffic Code creates two rolling twelve-month mechanisms, one counting warnings and one counting convictions, and both are permissive rather than automatic. This page explains them and then does something unusual: it tells you the numbers are not in this site's data, rather than filling the gap.
Two mechanisms
Counting is not the same as automatic
Both of these run on a rolling twelve-month window rather than a calendar year, and both are permissive — the statute says 'may', not 'shall'.
They are routinely quoted as one rule, and they are not one rule. Start with the subject. The warnings mechanism acts on a vehicle: what is at risk is the registration, which means the vehicle cannot lawfully be on the road no matter who is holding a licence. The convictions mechanism acts on a driver: what is at risk is the licence, which means that person cannot lawfully drive anything. Sell the vehicle and the first problem goes with it; the second follows the person.
Then the counted thing. A warning is something an enforcer issues at the roadside — no adjudication, no admission, and no money. A conviction is the end of a proceeding. Reaching a count of one is trivially easier in the first than in the second, and nothing in either provision converts one into the other or nets them off.
Then the boundary word, which is the trap. One of the two provisions is drafted with an exclusive threshold — the count must be more than the stated figure — and the other with an inclusive one, where reaching at least the stated figure is enough. Applied to the same tally, those two phrasings do not fire on the same day: the inclusive one bites a step earlier. When a summary flattens both into “three strikes”, it has silently moved one of the two.
And then the verb, which is what most readers actually need. Neither provision says the consequence shall follow. Both say it may. Crossing a threshold opens a discretion; it does not execute a suspension, and this page is not telling you that something will happen to you. It is telling you which two mechanisms exist and how differently they are built.
Both are also rolling rather than annual. The window is any twelve consecutive months, not a calendar year, so nothing resets in January — a count assembled between one autumn and the next is inside a single window even though it spans two years on the wall.
RA 4136 §16, second paragraph
Warnings
More than a stated number of warnings inside any twelve-month period lets the Commissioner suspend a motor vehicle's registration. The power is discretionary — the statute says “may”, not “shall”.
RA 4136 §27(b)
Convictions
A stated number of convictions inside any twelve-month period lets a driver's licence be revoked. Again discretionary, and again counted on a rolling window rather than a calendar year.
The honest part
This site cannot show you either threshold
Not because the provisions are unclear, but because the numbers are not in this site's data — and building the calculator anyway would mean typing a legal figure by hand.
No calculator on this page
Why there is no 'am I over it' tool here
Neither threshold figure is in this site's payload. The two provisions are in the corpus as statute text, but no arm of the shipped rules holds their numbers, so the calculator that would answer “am I over it?” is not built rather than built on a guess.
Every figure elsewhere on this site interpolates from a payload with a citation attached to it. A threshold typed into this page by hand would render identically to those and would be traceable to nothing. The tool is not built rather than built on a guess, and this paragraph is what stands in its place.
There is a second tool this page will never carry, and it is the one people are really after: a lookup that tells you how many warnings or convictions are already recorded against your own licence or your own vehicle. That is a live government record, held in a database this site has no connection to and no business holding. Every page here is a static file describing published rules; there is no field on this site that asks for a licence number or a plate, because there is nowhere for one to be sent.
So even a working threshold calculator would only ever have answered half the question. It could tell you what the bar is; it could never tell you where you stand against it. For that, the agency that holds the record is the only source, and it is the one to ask.
A related confusion
These are not demerit points
The two mechanisms above count events. They are not a points system, and no points system appears anywhere in this site's corpus.
No demerit-point system anywhere in this corpus
A demerit-point system is widely reported to exist under the implementing rules of a 2019 licensing law. This site read that Act in full: it carries no point or demerit mechanics of any kind, and is instead a statute about how long a licence lasts and about fraud in applying for one. The implementing rules themselves could not be obtained, and the secondary sources that describe the point system disagree with each other about its thresholds. No point value appears anywhere on this site.
What does exist, and is priced, is the ladder structure on the individual offence pages — where a second or third offence of the same kind costs more than the first. Those are on the violations hub, and none of them states a period after which the count resets either.